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Feb 3, 2013
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we are not going to have a debt ceiling default crisis and we're not going to have a government shut down. we'll have sequester for a few months, but i think these great epic struggles that worry the markets are starting to fade as a strategic policy. >> do you think it happens, greg? >> for a while, yeah. i think on march 1 we begin at least on defense and discretionary spending. if there's enough squawking maybe by late spring, early summer it gets undone. we'll have that. still some head winds. there is this and the higher payroll tax. maybe first rate growth is a little slow but by the second half, things could be looking much better. >> this week, we moved closer to the unthinkable. the sequester that president obama promised us would never happen. listen just a few months ago. >> first of all, the sequester is not something that i proposed. something that congress has proposed. it will not happen. >> i don't know, that could be the one election promise the president fails to keep. the sequester a part of the decision on march 1st. what happens if the sequester happens? >> well,
we are not going to have a debt ceiling default crisis and we're not going to have a government shut down. we'll have sequester for a few months, but i think these great epic struggles that worry the markets are starting to fade as a strategic policy. >> do you think it happens, greg? >> for a while, yeah. i think on march 1 we begin at least on defense and discretionary spending. if there's enough squawking maybe by late spring, early summer it gets undone. we'll have that. still...
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we are not going to have a debt ceiling default crisis. we're not going you have to a government shutdown. yeah, we'll probably have sequester for a few months. but i think these great epic struggles that worried the markets are starting to fade as a strategic policy. >> do you think we veal the sequester? do you think it happens, greg? >> for a while, yeah. i think on march 1 we begin at least on defense and discretionary spending. if there's enough sidewalking maybe by late spring, early sum eshg it gets undone. we'll have that. there's still some headwinds. there's this and the higher payroll tax. maybe first-half growth would be a little slow but i think the storm is sending us a message that by the second half things could be looking much better. >> this week, austin, we moved closer to the automatic across the board spending cuts, the sequester that president obama promised us would never happen. listen a few months ago. >> first of all, the sequester is not something that i propose, it's something congress has po pro-posed. it will
we are not going to have a debt ceiling default crisis. we're not going you have to a government shutdown. yeah, we'll probably have sequester for a few months. but i think these great epic struggles that worried the markets are starting to fade as a strategic policy. >> do you think we veal the sequester? do you think it happens, greg? >> for a while, yeah. i think on march 1 we begin at least on defense and discretionary spending. if there's enough sidewalking maybe by late...
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Feb 8, 2013
02/13
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it's probably because looking at debt ceiling in the future. it's much more about what the lineup is because of how the temp structure has set up. >> chris, i know you're expecting a good year for stocks, but do you think that we're going to have some selloffs around these issues in washington, sequestration, the budget cuts to come. are you going to be buying on the dip if that were to happen? >> yes, maria. in fact, i agree with amy on the u.s. markets. i think it's going to be a little bit of tough sledding specifically because of sequestration and because of the fact we're starting right at this moment at fairly high investor sentiment levels, and the interesting thing, really a question of time horizon, amy's time horizon is maybe a little bit shorter than how we invest, but the interesting thing is what we found in studying investor sentiment is even when it's at optimistic levels like it is right now, that tends to mute forward returns from say zero to a couple months ahead time frame. it's actually a good thing from a nine to 12-month g
it's probably because looking at debt ceiling in the future. it's much more about what the lineup is because of how the temp structure has set up. >> chris, i know you're expecting a good year for stocks, but do you think that we're going to have some selloffs around these issues in washington, sequestration, the budget cuts to come. are you going to be buying on the dip if that were to happen? >> yes, maria. in fact, i agree with amy on the u.s. markets. i think it's going to be a...
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i think they will do the same thing on the upcoming debt ceiling and sequestration. ashley: so if we do have this pullback after the state of the union, jeff, what sectors or stocks in particular do you like? >> i actually like all the sectors except the consumer staples. a lot of portfolio managers, professional money has been hiding out in the consumer staples because they were worried about the upcoming election, the fiscal cliff, the debt ceiling, china slowing, you name it, dysfunctional government. now it has become more apparent our dysfunctional government has become a little bit less dysfunctional i think investors will start to have to look at the fundamentals. i think the fundamentals with the housing situation, the automobile strength i think it is going to come to the fore. tracy: i hope you're right, jeff saut, with raymond james. thank you very much, sir. >> you bet. ashley: jeff says when housing is healthy and automobile industry is healthy that's always a good sign for a solid recovery. tracy: he is not wrong, right? they do kumbaya at the last minu
i think they will do the same thing on the upcoming debt ceiling and sequestration. ashley: so if we do have this pullback after the state of the union, jeff, what sectors or stocks in particular do you like? >> i actually like all the sectors except the consumer staples. a lot of portfolio managers, professional money has been hiding out in the consumer staples because they were worried about the upcoming election, the fiscal cliff, the debt ceiling, china slowing, you name it,...
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ceiling debate, take the pick, and we fell off the cliff. do you see that happening this year? >> after the election in germany this fall, yes, i expect things will be bad in the world economy. cheryl: you mentioned europe four times now. >> yeah, i mean, there's going to be a lot of good news, and she's got one of the largest economies in the world. her central bank in europe is printing money as well now. everybody's printing money. cheryl, it can't go on. it's artificial. it's a pool of par dies. if it's based on printing presses, that's a bad theme. cheryl: the lost decade. gym -- jim rogers, thank you very much. congratulations on the book. >> thank youings thank you, make that two lost decades. cheryl: that's right, thank you. dennis: the dow is now at 13999, but they will be right some day. all right, looks like the housing recovery could be for real. december home prices making the highest leap in six and a half years, this as a third of listings in some markets, washington, d.c., denver, they are selling in two weeks or less. brian
ceiling debate, take the pick, and we fell off the cliff. do you see that happening this year? >> after the election in germany this fall, yes, i expect things will be bad in the world economy. cheryl: you mentioned europe four times now. >> yeah, i mean, there's going to be a lot of good news, and she's got one of the largest economies in the world. her central bank in europe is printing money as well now. everybody's printing money. cheryl, it can't go on. it's artificial. it's a...
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Feb 6, 2013
02/13
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there are other taxes put in place and the debt ceiling will be dealt with. that will be a big battle between entitlement cuts and raising the debt ceiling. i think all these issues will bear on the market when people are very enthusiastic about it. i think this market is vulnerable. >> interesting to date, with all the noise in the market, stocks have been able to put on pretty good ear plugs. >> that's often the case. you've been around long enough. sometimes the market sloughs off bad news until it doesn't. >> that's for sure. >> how about your earnings forecast? 100 bucks, less than many people on the street are expecting. how does that mesh with the fact you're coming off a pretty good earnings season. expectations have come down but two-thirds of the companies have beaten. >> two-thirds of companies have beaten but you look at a chart of expectations, they're coming down. earnings expectations are rolling over and performance is coming down. the s&p has been able to earn $25 or better a quarter. i think we will see quarters $23. i don't think the market
there are other taxes put in place and the debt ceiling will be dealt with. that will be a big battle between entitlement cuts and raising the debt ceiling. i think all these issues will bear on the market when people are very enthusiastic about it. i think this market is vulnerable. >> interesting to date, with all the noise in the market, stocks have been able to put on pretty good ear plugs. >> that's often the case. you've been around long enough. sometimes the market sloughs...
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Feb 1, 2013
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today the senate agreed with the house and passed an extension of the debt ceiling, raised the debt ceiling for the future. and i didn't vote for that. there were no cuts included in that bill. the only cut that we have ever come up with is this 1.2 trillion, because the committee, the special select committee couldn't come up with a spending reductions, were now going to have as part as sequestration. i don't really believe in across the board cuts. i think that's irresponsible. but in the absence of cutting spending someplace to replace those 1.2 -- >> got to take it where you get it. >> it's not the only way we're going to get it. >> it's never a good time to cut spending. it's one of the things i've learned. i guess i saw it years ago when i worked down there. but reporting on this thing night after night, one of the things i learned, senator moran, is it's never a good time to cut spending. so march 1st is an interesting deadline. >> i'm not voting to set the sequester aside unless we cut the 1.2 trillion someplace else. >> good luck on that. senator jerry moran of kansas, thank you ve
today the senate agreed with the house and passed an extension of the debt ceiling, raised the debt ceiling for the future. and i didn't vote for that. there were no cuts included in that bill. the only cut that we have ever come up with is this 1.2 trillion, because the committee, the special select committee couldn't come up with a spending reductions, were now going to have as part as sequestration. i don't really believe in across the board cuts. i think that's irresponsible. but in the...
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Feb 6, 2013
02/13
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>> the sky will fall if you don't deal with the debt ceiling. but i think unfortunately, this is the price that we pay in the fiscal cliff deal. the democrats paid. i said at the time that i thought it was a short term victory for the democrats, but a long term victory for the republicans because we gave away our leverage on tax increases. so, sure, i have no objection to giving away the carried interest on some of the projects and loophole, but the fact is we're not in position to do that and i think we ought to get serious about the deficit and the best way to get serious about the deficit is go right over the cliff. the likelihood of having a real agreement between the white house and the conservative republicans is pretty close to zero. so i think we should take our medicine now. i don't think our sky are fall if we take the sequesters. i think from a democratic view, it's the only way we'll get the kind of defense cuts that we really need to get and we need to take our medicine. >> what i'm hearing is you disagree with the president and you
>> the sky will fall if you don't deal with the debt ceiling. but i think unfortunately, this is the price that we pay in the fiscal cliff deal. the democrats paid. i said at the time that i thought it was a short term victory for the democrats, but a long term victory for the republicans because we gave away our leverage on tax increases. so, sure, i have no objection to giving away the carried interest on some of the projects and loophole, but the fact is we're not in position to do...
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Feb 5, 2013
02/13
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republicans acted in that direction by putting off the debt ceiling a couple of months until may as hampton mentioned a minute ago. the president is going to propose the same thing on the budget sequester but not, according to a white house official, laying out his own plan. he's going to call on congress to do that and expected response from republicans, tyler, is, hey, mr. president, where are your cuts, we want to see them. >> john harwood, thank you very much. once again you will see the president's address live right here on "power lunch" in just a few moments. before that occurs, we have a triple digit advance. the market added to advances a few moments ago when we got budget figures. the dow up 109 points. the nasdaq up 34 and the s&p 500 is up 14 points. more on the trading action right here from bob pisani. he joins me on the floor of the nyse. it's almost like yesterday didn't happen. >> the important thing is, i know it doesn't seem terribly exciting but we are 14,000, we're a couple of points from a historic high from the dow jones industrial. we've been up a couple points throu
republicans acted in that direction by putting off the debt ceiling a couple of months until may as hampton mentioned a minute ago. the president is going to propose the same thing on the budget sequester but not, according to a white house official, laying out his own plan. he's going to call on congress to do that and expected response from republicans, tyler, is, hey, mr. president, where are your cuts, we want to see them. >> john harwood, thank you very much. once again you will see...
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Feb 1, 2013
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ceiling. this measure suspends the government's borrowing limit to may 19th. the national debt will be pushing $17 trillion. in other words, it's really washington's version of kicking the can down the road. the president is expected to sign this bill immediately. >>> now to the economy and the financial markets. stocks fell a bit today with all three major indexes modestly lower. but for the month, the dow was up almost 6%, the best since january in '94. nasdaq gained 4%, s&p just over 6. its best january since '97. what is the market surge trying to tell us when mixed in with some bad news out there, as well? and on the eve of another big jobs report? our report from nbc's tom costello. >> reporter: 25-year-old kory wilson can tell you, it's not easy looking for a job. she has applied for 200 since earning a master's degree in public relations last may. >> being a post graduate, either i'm overqualified or i'm underqualified. >> she is looking for work, but the economy seemingly poised to ei
ceiling. this measure suspends the government's borrowing limit to may 19th. the national debt will be pushing $17 trillion. in other words, it's really washington's version of kicking the can down the road. the president is expected to sign this bill immediately. >>> now to the economy and the financial markets. stocks fell a bit today with all three major indexes modestly lower. but for the month, the dow was up almost 6%, the best since january in '94. nasdaq gained 4%, s&p just...
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Feb 8, 2013
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. >> nobody is worried about this upcoming debate on sequestration, on the debt ceiling. you think that creates noise and disruption. >> i do, maria. i think that you've got a trifecta coming off, you've got the skywest raise and the debt ceiling and the eurozone so there's still a lot of volatility out there, so that's have we're cautiously optimistic. you need to be properly allocated in order to reap the rewards of the greatest capital machine in the world which is our united states stock market. >> thanks, everybody. appreciate your time. >> we'll see you soon in the final stretch of trading. we've got a market that's higher on the dow jones industrial average. >> remember, the dow needs to be up 66 points or there abouts to be positive. don't look now but suddenly apple is up past $475 a share and it's all because big investors have a beef with the board. we'll talk to one major investor who is on apple's side in this battle. >> look outside new york city and our cnbc headquarters. it is bad and it's getting worse. the big worry now, power outages. believe it or not,
. >> nobody is worried about this upcoming debate on sequestration, on the debt ceiling. you think that creates noise and disruption. >> i do, maria. i think that you've got a trifecta coming off, you've got the skywest raise and the debt ceiling and the eurozone so there's still a lot of volatility out there, so that's have we're cautiously optimistic. you need to be properly allocated in order to reap the rewards of the greatest capital machine in the world which is our united...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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the debt ceiling fight will resurface in the summer. >>> new polls showing the nra's opposition to reforming certain gun laws isn't registering with the american public. according to polling, more than 90% of voters in three states say they support wider background checks for people buying weapons at gun shows. that includes voters who live in households with a gun. when it comes to the question of armed police in schools, more voters in virginia, new jersey, and pennsylvania support the idea than oppose it. the board of education in new it is town, connecticut, is requesting funding for armed police officers in four elementary schools for the next school year. in chicago, meanwhile, mayor rahm emanuel is moving 200 officers from desk duty to the streets amid the city's most violent months in decades. 42 people have been murdered this year including 15-year-old who was shot dead this week while hanging out with friends in a park. >> when any young person in our city is gunned down without reason, their death makes an impression on all of us. and it demands action from all of us. the loss of
the debt ceiling fight will resurface in the summer. >>> new polls showing the nra's opposition to reforming certain gun laws isn't registering with the american public. according to polling, more than 90% of voters in three states say they support wider background checks for people buying weapons at gun shows. that includes voters who live in households with a gun. when it comes to the question of armed police in schools, more voters in virginia, new jersey, and pennsylvania support...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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and the senate gave final approval to suspending the national debt ceiling into may. online we profile a social entrepreneur who works as matchmaker between international artisans and retailers. kwame holman explains. >> holman: in our agents for chnge riesmeethe woman in argof nt, an organization that helps talented, aspiring craftspeople build successful businesses and connect to consumers. that's on the rundown. should parents worry about kids consuming highly caffeinated energy drinks? health correspondent betty ann bowser asks a psycho- pharmacologist. and on making sense, economist dean baker weighs in on the causes of rising economic inequality in the united states. all that and more is on our website newshour.pbs.org. jeff? >> brown: and that's the "newshour" for tonight. i'm jeffrey brown. >> brown: and i'm judy woodruff. we'll see you line and again here tomorrow evening with mark shields and david brooks among others. thank you and good night. >> major funding for the pbs newshour has been provided by: >> and the william and flora hewlett foundation, workin
and the senate gave final approval to suspending the national debt ceiling into may. online we profile a social entrepreneur who works as matchmaker between international artisans and retailers. kwame holman explains. >> holman: in our agents for chnge riesmeethe woman in argof nt, an organization that helps talented, aspiring craftspeople build successful businesses and connect to consumers. that's on the rundown. should parents worry about kids consuming highly caffeinated energy...
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Feb 3, 2013
02/13
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." >>> congress has postponed the debt ceiling crisis. now the focus in washington has swung back to budgets and deficits. the nation is heading toward budget sequestration. for medicare this means a 2% spending cut. but that's just a downpayment. any serious attempt to tackle the deficit must curb the increase in medicare and medicaid spending. last week a kaiser family foundation report listed 150 ideas to reduce medicare spending. the problem is almost all of
." >>> congress has postponed the debt ceiling crisis. now the focus in washington has swung back to budgets and deficits. the nation is heading toward budget sequestration. for medicare this means a 2% spending cut. but that's just a downpayment. any serious attempt to tackle the deficit must curb the increase in medicare and medicaid spending. last week a kaiser family foundation report listed 150 ideas to reduce medicare spending. the problem is almost all of
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Feb 1, 2013
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extension of the debt ceiling for two years. clarification on europe. first, the recession needs to stabilize, but beyond that, policy initiatives clearly indicate a road to political and fiscal and banking reforms and an indication that europe is serious about improving competitiveness. resumption of growth in emerging economies, like china, and finally the federal successfully engineering a modest increase in interest rates without unleashing runaway inflation. maria, these are tall orders, i know, but resolution of all these issues would be a huge boost to business confidence, capital expenditures and hiring would increase dramatically and revenues would rise, and that's what we need, maria. back to you. >> that's some list, bob. >> pretty ambitious. >> we'll be watching that. not everybody is buying into this bull market theory, by the way. pimco's bill gross is actually warning investors to be afraid, and i mean very afraid, of how inflation and the flood of cheap money will impact investments from here on out. bill joins me exclusively from pimco
extension of the debt ceiling for two years. clarification on europe. first, the recession needs to stabilize, but beyond that, policy initiatives clearly indicate a road to political and fiscal and banking reforms and an indication that europe is serious about improving competitiveness. resumption of growth in emerging economies, like china, and finally the federal successfully engineering a modest increase in interest rates without unleashing runaway inflation. maria, these are tall orders, i...
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Feb 8, 2013
02/13
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so i think the concern about article you should ourselves in the foot, you know, not raise the debt ceiling or not come to an agreement on various things. one of the main things, i am still i think more nervous about europe and some people, precisely because though interest rates are down in some of the most troubled countries, their troubles are still there. so i don't think that's a problem that has gone away. i do think we still have a risk to the economy. unfortunately, that does he is heading off the robust fast recovery. i think 2013 will be better than 2012. i wish i could tell you it will be really, really good because that's what we dashed we need. >> i'm not a forecaster. i don't have a ph.d in economics. i specialize in economic policy. so i tried to be a good consumer of other forecasts. one thing i've learned from that is frankly i don't trust any macro forecast that goes beyond six months. because i don't think anyone is any -- they're just guessing beyond that. i think we probably, at least i would have similar reactions. i am still very concerned about the risk posed by euro
so i think the concern about article you should ourselves in the foot, you know, not raise the debt ceiling or not come to an agreement on various things. one of the main things, i am still i think more nervous about europe and some people, precisely because though interest rates are down in some of the most troubled countries, their troubles are still there. so i don't think that's a problem that has gone away. i do think we still have a risk to the economy. unfortunately, that does he is...
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what debt ceiling? it looks like someone in washington is doing a big messaging switcheroo. they don't want us talking about how badly they have mismanaged our nation's finances. instead, let's get people talking about something that is also important, freedom, freedom to bear arms, freedom for people to travel to and from our country. well, the president can pretend he is a big skeet shooter, but it is insulting to think you will notice your paycheck has shrunk as a first of the year. melissa: and be sure to watch the tom sullivan show this weekend at seven and 10:00 p.m. on saturday and on sunday at 7:00 a.m. and 7:00 p.m. eastern. what do you think of the market? 14,000, up next week, the dow? >> we are rich. okay. i think it will bring people into the market. probably good. chase the market up as the money comes in. melissa: absolutely. all right. have a great weekend everybody. we'll see you back here monday. ♪ gerri: hello, everybody. i'm gerri willis. tonight on "the willis report" it's super bowl weekend, and the point scoring has already begun. we are talking abou
what debt ceiling? it looks like someone in washington is doing a big messaging switcheroo. they don't want us talking about how badly they have mismanaged our nation's finances. instead, let's get people talking about something that is also important, freedom, freedom to bear arms, freedom for people to travel to and from our country. well, the president can pretend he is a big skeet shooter, but it is insulting to think you will notice your paycheck has shrunk as a first of the year. melissa:...
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Feb 8, 2013
02/13
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i mean, the sequester, the debt ceiling, fiscal cliff, all these things are not so much real problems as they are manufactured partisan problems. but underneath them, you have this real problem which is basically the republicans won the debate on taxes, and the democrats have won the debate on the safety net. and as a result, that's sort of the deficit that we have. and the question is how can we solve it? and history suggests economic growth is the best way, but this deficit is also big enough in the long term that it's probably not going to be enough. and we need some combination of spending cuts and tax increases as well. >> yeah, how do we make that happen, sam? >> i was going to say, part of the problem is the tax revenue problem, which is that you don't have enough people making good incomes, paying good taxes, which is used to fund the social safety net that we value very highly. but it's also a health spending problem in that we spend a of d a lot of that's end of life health as well. one of the curious things about the health care debate when we're through, there's a huge bac
i mean, the sequester, the debt ceiling, fiscal cliff, all these things are not so much real problems as they are manufactured partisan problems. but underneath them, you have this real problem which is basically the republicans won the debate on taxes, and the democrats have won the debate on the safety net. and as a result, that's sort of the deficit that we have. and the question is how can we solve it? and history suggests economic growth is the best way, but this deficit is also big enough...
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Feb 1, 2013
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quick thought about this, can we get rid of the debt ceiling? >> iveng what we're seeing is some of the political brinksman ship around the debt ceiling may be a thing of the past. the renls certainly got hurt politically trying to use that tool as leverage. 6/hopefully it's an indication that that particular kind of brinksman ship is behind us. >> we'll see. i never put it beyond politicians. when the story changes, they'll change. julie, now win promise you can have your coffee break or tea break. try tea, it's very nice. english breakfast. very good thing to have first thing in the morning. we'll come back to you, jules, julia. >>> in the united states, in addition to the jobs report, there are some other pieces of the economic data. the final look at january consumer sentiment is out at 9:55 a.m. eastern. on the corporate front, exxon mobil, chevron, merck, tyson foods all report earnings before the bell. january sales are also out. they're expected to be seen at the strong rate compared to last year. this is all thanks to pent up demand as
quick thought about this, can we get rid of the debt ceiling? >> iveng what we're seeing is some of the political brinksman ship around the debt ceiling may be a thing of the past. the renls certainly got hurt politically trying to use that tool as leverage. 6/hopefully it's an indication that that particular kind of brinksman ship is behind us. >> we'll see. i never put it beyond politicians. when the story changes, they'll change. julie, now win promise you can have your coffee...
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and from defaulting on its debts. provisions a house republicans to temporarily withhold lawmakers' pay in either chamber that fails to produce a budget plan. the senate has approved a bill include security at u.s. embassies overseas, following the attacks in benghazi. than $1 billion for funds no longer needed in iraq would then fund that effort. the bill now goes to the house. 5:17. the big question is, how many pancakes and you think you can put away today > >> about 5. i want that many. >> i think that's about 11. let's check in with adam caskey, ihop int the alexandria. pancakes?ad some >> we are going to dig in this morning. day and the pancake day.nal weather person's you get a free short stack at ihop and it's for good cause. it's for charity. tell us about it. toyou have the opportunity leukemia lymphomas find a cure for blood cancer. we're hoping to raise $220,000. they've been raising money over last month and today is the hurrah. >> , tabriz in the past? >> $185,000, last year. working hardbeen $220,000 th
and from defaulting on its debts. provisions a house republicans to temporarily withhold lawmakers' pay in either chamber that fails to produce a budget plan. the senate has approved a bill include security at u.s. embassies overseas, following the attacks in benghazi. than $1 billion for funds no longer needed in iraq would then fund that effort. the bill now goes to the house. 5:17. the big question is, how many pancakes and you think you can put away today > >> about 5. i want that...
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Feb 2, 2013
02/13
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and we have the best to come yet because we have to the side of the debt ceiling and spending. and so this is where we really need leadership, which we were used to. i tend to be an optimist about the united states because people gave up on us of vietnam's, on the watergate crisis, and we came charging back, and that think we will do it here. it would be nice if we did not have to go to the clef each time to do it. >> you know, and it began, when you start talking about the kind of relationships and leadership, you know, we still seem to have this atmosphere where people talk more at each other than trying to find some common ground, some common goal in getting it done. you broke still hold goal of growth and jobs, and that is the answer to all of this. you also talked a lot about contagion. now, we all, you know, a sense that if the europeans situation got worse and they are representing 23% of world gdp, you know, the effect that it is going to have on the united states, india, brazil is going to be real. and so with 40 percent of their exports coming year to the united state
and we have the best to come yet because we have to the side of the debt ceiling and spending. and so this is where we really need leadership, which we were used to. i tend to be an optimist about the united states because people gave up on us of vietnam's, on the watergate crisis, and we came charging back, and that think we will do it here. it would be nice if we did not have to go to the clef each time to do it. >> you know, and it began, when you start talking about the kind of...
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i think my biggest concern is we move into february and really up through april is the debt ceiling and what congress is going to do about that. and particularly, one number that was interesting this week was personal income and spending. it was a great number, but when you look forward, my concern is the new tax policies that are in place. and that amount of money may not be in consumers' pockets going forward. so it's been a great rally here in january. but i look for a pullback and i think we could see a 5% pullback when you look at interest rates hovering around 200 basis points, can't really pop any higher than that from a yield standpoint. i agree a correction is in the air and it is something we have to take a little pause, see where we're at and where we may go going forward. liz: yeah, i mean, we can't ignore the fact -- i want to check it because it changes moment by moment -- but the vix just at 13, straddling there? i mean alan you are looking at an energy and commodities picture over there. but when there is very little fear, and rising stocks, rising commodities, and a fal
i think my biggest concern is we move into february and really up through april is the debt ceiling and what congress is going to do about that. and particularly, one number that was interesting this week was personal income and spending. it was a great number, but when you look forward, my concern is the new tax policies that are in place. and that amount of money may not be in consumers' pockets going forward. so it's been a great rally here in january. but i look for a pullback and i think...
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Feb 1, 2013
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. >>> crisis averted, the house passed a bill in a suspended the debt ceiling in may. president obama will sign the measure so the government can keep borrowing and paying the bills for a few more months. >>> gas prices rising more than usual this year. trip 8a reported $3.42. and in january, $3.32, second only to last year's january average! >> the party is on hold. and the feds say they're opposed to the marriage of the world's two biggest beer companies. on one side, anhauser busch. and the makers of an still. they have plan to buy popular mexican beers, including the top selling import, corona. but they filed a lawsuit, arguing that merger would give just one firm control of half of the u.s. beer market, and the competition could drive up prices wherever they buy the stuff. aanhauser busch will fight it in court. >>> facebook users can send a gift card to their friends by mail, but you continue use the facebook card to have purchase anything on the website itself. rather, it's meant for other places like target. it's available on the online gift store, which hasn't
. >>> crisis averted, the house passed a bill in a suspended the debt ceiling in may. president obama will sign the measure so the government can keep borrowing and paying the bills for a few more months. >>> gas prices rising more than usual this year. trip 8a reported $3.42. and in january, $3.32, second only to last year's january average! >> the party is on hold. and the feds say they're opposed to the marriage of the world's two biggest beer companies. on one side,...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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you know, you've got the sequester, right, coming up march 1st, kicked the can a bit on raising the debt ceiling. >> want to watch the four ps, production, politics, profits, along as profit numbers come through, the market can lift. the personal income, the jobs number and the production is the industrial expansion. this last quarter was low, but mine us 0.1% because of defense reduction. other parts of the economy are doing well, especially the consumer. >> let's talk about what took us here. bank of america doing very well, verizon, at&t. you had the financials and the telecom stocks as the leadership groups. merck was down 2%. exxon down. three dow stocks were actually down. what happened there and what are you seeing at the end of the kay? >> finally seeing the laggards catching up and telecoms have done okay during this period, but i think what uruguay seeing is the overall economic data with the exception of the weaker gkp number. all the other data was very strong and all the companies are pulling up with that. >> and then with that, swing it around, what happened there. dts. wha
you know, you've got the sequester, right, coming up march 1st, kicked the can a bit on raising the debt ceiling. >> want to watch the four ps, production, politics, profits, along as profit numbers come through, the market can lift. the personal income, the jobs number and the production is the industrial expansion. this last quarter was low, but mine us 0.1% because of defense reduction. other parts of the economy are doing well, especially the consumer. >> let's talk about what...
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Feb 4, 2013
02/13
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. >> so, now we haven't seen the downgrade and now we're waiting on the next level of debt ceiling debate or the sequestration and you start to see this headline. is this a warning to the other rating agencies -- >> trying to smack them down before -- >> if i were a conspiracy guy, that's -- >> if you were. lay it out. >> don't paint me with that brush. but if i were, this is what i would be saying. >> let's let that sit out there, just sit there. one of wall street's most well-known banking analysts surging you to buy all of the banks. here's what he said earlier today. >> you should be buying goldman sachs, bank of america, u.s. bank corp, you should be buying comerica. what you are going to get is continuous upearnings, inkreeflss in dividends, higher stock buy-back programs and record results. >> was he bullish? karen says to buy one bank stock in particular and she is turning her back on her belove fd jamie dimon. >> i'm not turning my back on him. you know, it's still as strong between us as it ever was, only -- >> should we slap another ceo in that little bubble? >> no, no, you kno
. >> so, now we haven't seen the downgrade and now we're waiting on the next level of debt ceiling debate or the sequestration and you start to see this headline. is this a warning to the other rating agencies -- >> trying to smack them down before -- >> if i were a conspiracy guy, that's -- >> if you were. lay it out. >> don't paint me with that brush. but if i were, this is what i would be saying. >> let's let that sit out there, just sit there. one of wall...
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Feb 5, 2013
02/13
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president obama has signed a debt ceiling suspension into law. the measure allows the government to keep borrowing to pay its bills. it puts off the next congressional battle over the debt ceiling until may. boeing is asking the faa for permission to resume test flights of its grounded 787 jet. it wants to test the batteries and other components in flight since certain conditions can't be simulated on the ground. the faa is evaluating boeing's request. >>> in wall street 2013 rally interrupted with a major averages suffering their worst one-day loss in a year on monday's trading. the last hour we spoke to goldman's jim o'neil about the prospects of making money in this market. >> i think to sell if you're a medium term player is probably not a smart move. but if you've made all the gains, to take some off the table isn't a crazy idea either. >> joining us now is nouriel roubini, chairman and co-founder of roubini global economics. you're not like a market master, maybe like a market jedi. plus andrew still here from fortune magazine. the one and
president obama has signed a debt ceiling suspension into law. the measure allows the government to keep borrowing to pay its bills. it puts off the next congressional battle over the debt ceiling until may. boeing is asking the faa for permission to resume test flights of its grounded 787 jet. it wants to test the batteries and other components in flight since certain conditions can't be simulated on the ground. the faa is evaluating boeing's request. >>> in wall street 2013 rally...
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Feb 2, 2013
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we're not worried about the debt ceiling crisis. we're not worried about, well, for the moment, the eu -- we have that kind of psychological factor. a healthy private sector. and the problem is what? the problem is government and bad policy. and that's what we have to offset. >> but jim iuorio, i want to know where to invest. do we buy gold, silver, and commodities? do we buy banks, which are lagging a little bit? do we buy industrial cyclicals to play the world boom, if there is such a thing? in other words, how do you invest right now, having passed this 14,000 benchmark? >> well, there's a couple things. first of all, when caterpillar released its earnings it talked about good numbers out of housing. and you stloe in china. you invest in things like copper. you know i still like gold and silver. and today with the green light from the fed i'm still going to stay in things like those. i am in bank of america. i am in health care. i think the stock market looks pretty good. you said before, though, the stock market tends to be a le
we're not worried about the debt ceiling crisis. we're not worried about, well, for the moment, the eu -- we have that kind of psychological factor. a healthy private sector. and the problem is what? the problem is government and bad policy. and that's what we have to offset. >> but jim iuorio, i want to know where to invest. do we buy gold, silver, and commodities? do we buy banks, which are lagging a little bit? do we buy industrial cyclicals to play the world boom, if there is such a...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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ceiling bill. will the intraparty scism end in heartburn or heart break? for over 75 years people have saved money with...ohhh... ...with geico... ohhh...sorry! director's voice: here we go. from the top. and action for over 75 years people have saved money with gecko so.... director's voice: cut it! ...what...what did i say? gecko? i said gecko? aw... for over 75 year...(laughs. but still trying to keep it contained) director's voice: keep it together. i'm good. i'm good. for over 75...(uncontrollable lahtuger). what are you doing there? stop making me laugh. vo: geico. saving people money for over seventy-five years. gecko: don't look at me. don't look at me. >>> the republican party is engaged in a fierce game of tug-of-war with itself. last week after speaker john boehner pleaded with his party to vote for a bill to extend the debt limit for three months, 33 members broke rank. the measure would have failed without democratic support. yesterday the senate took up that same bill and even though
ceiling bill. will the intraparty scism end in heartburn or heart break? for over 75 years people have saved money with...ohhh... ...with geico... ohhh...sorry! director's voice: here we go. from the top. and action for over 75 years people have saved money with gecko so.... director's voice: cut it! ...what...what did i say? gecko? i said gecko? aw... for over 75 year...(laughs. but still trying to keep it contained) director's voice: keep it together. i'm good. i'm good. for over...
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Feb 9, 2013
02/13
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republicans have moved to the debt ceiling debate to may 18. you have all of these self- imposed economic wounds. we should be dealing with them all at once in a comprehensive manner. if we cannot deal with it for a 10 year period, deal with it for the remainder of the fiscal year. that is what the house democratic alternative did. we would replace the sequester with the hotel -- with deficit reduction achieved over a longer amount of time. host: ray locker is the national security editor with "usa today ." he is here to talk to us about the sequestration's affect on defense spending. what exactly is sequestration? guest: it means mandatory budget cuts. they were part of a 2011 deal that congress and the white house agreed to. they were worried about raising the national debt ceiling, which is $16.4 trillion. republicans hoped to try to force a general deduction of overall spending. it came down to this deal where it was they would do a supercommittee that would come up with a deal by the end of 2011. they did not. if they did not reach a deal
republicans have moved to the debt ceiling debate to may 18. you have all of these self- imposed economic wounds. we should be dealing with them all at once in a comprehensive manner. if we cannot deal with it for a 10 year period, deal with it for the remainder of the fiscal year. that is what the house democratic alternative did. we would replace the sequester with the hotel -- with deficit reduction achieved over a longer amount of time. host: ray locker is the national security editor with...
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Feb 5, 2013
02/13
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it's been on debt ceilings, budgets, deadlines and negotiations. all of this is extremely important because i don't think there's any substitute for getting our fiscal house in order. there's no greater moral imperative than to reduce the mountain of debt that's facing us, our children and theirs. and our house republican majority stands ready for the president and his party to join us in actually tackling the big problems facing this country. but today i'd like to focus really on what lies beyond the fiscal debate. over the next two years, our house majority will pursue an agenda that is based on a shared vision of creating the conditions of health, happiness and prosperity for more americans and their families. and to restrain washington from interfering in those pursuits. we'll advance proposals aimed at producing results in areas like education, health care, innovation and job growth. our solutions will be based on the conservative presence of self-reliance, faith in the individual, trust in family and accountability in government. our goal is
it's been on debt ceilings, budgets, deadlines and negotiations. all of this is extremely important because i don't think there's any substitute for getting our fiscal house in order. there's no greater moral imperative than to reduce the mountain of debt that's facing us, our children and theirs. and our house republican majority stands ready for the president and his party to join us in actually tackling the big problems facing this country. but today i'd like to focus really on what lies...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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"washington post" what was the outcome of the senate vote on the bill to suspend the debt ceiling until may 19. in surprising? >> not particularly, no. the vote 64-34. they made it to spare. most republicans voted no, which was not necessarily surprising since republicans don't like to mess around with the debt limit. but democrats got enough support from the moderate republicans like sue san colins to put it over the edge and take the issue off the table. we're told until at least august. >> now the bill heads to the president's desk. what is he going to do with it? >> he's going sign it. he doesn't want to have a debt limit fight right now. the interesting thing about this, it is the first time that we have ever just suspended enforcement of the debt limit. it's still $16.4 trillion. normally in the celebration we're in now, we're against the debt is at the limit. we just raise the limit. but house republicans didn't want to vote for a higher limit. they voted to suspend the limit until may 18th. at that time, the debt limit will automatically take in to account the additional borrowi
"washington post" what was the outcome of the senate vote on the bill to suspend the debt ceiling until may 19. in surprising? >> not particularly, no. the vote 64-34. they made it to spare. most republicans voted no, which was not necessarily surprising since republicans don't like to mess around with the debt limit. but democrats got enough support from the moderate republicans like sue san colins to put it over the edge and take the issue off the table. we're told until at...
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we have avoided the fiscal cliff posted on the debt ceiling. earnings are decent, decent economic indicators here and outside the u.s. on balance is good, not everyone of them. we have central bankers all over the world, but begging for reflation putting money in the system and a lot of cash getting zero return and those things i think are the reason the stock is likely to continue going. connell: that is the last one i want to pick up on because reading your most recent numbers is lack of tolerance for the cash balances giving a zero return, so people do look and say i can't get a return for a decent yield on anything, so i would rather be in stocks than any kind of fixed income class. if any of that changing in the future, and if so at what point? interest rates have to go up some point, don't they? >> i think they will continue to creep higher, but they can't go a lot higher because the economy would then weekend. so i think as we globalize and the rate race will continue hig, but a lot of cash out there saying when things were volatile in t
we have avoided the fiscal cliff posted on the debt ceiling. earnings are decent, decent economic indicators here and outside the u.s. on balance is good, not everyone of them. we have central bankers all over the world, but begging for reflation putting money in the system and a lot of cash getting zero return and those things i think are the reason the stock is likely to continue going. connell: that is the last one i want to pick up on because reading your most recent numbers is lack of...
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the debt ceiling continues to go up and the overall debt. they are very concerned about all of those things. lori: do you think washington has the best interests of small business at heart? >> well, i hope so. the unfortunate part is we are seeing it in the administration. it continues to attack small business. washington has a spending problem, not a revenue problem. we hear about this every single week. lori: you point out that many small businesses do not have lawyers or lobbyists that focus on this. the list goes on and on. that is a serious problem. a serious disadvantage for them, correct? >> exactly. they do not have the resources. that is one of the reasons why we are trying to provide the voice for small businesses. we need to be the advocate for small businesses here in washington. lori: you look at our ballooning national debt in the battle over the current deficit. what is the best outcome? >> that would be for the federal government to reduce spending. that is just all there is to it. lori: where exactly? i have to interrupt you
the debt ceiling continues to go up and the overall debt. they are very concerned about all of those things. lori: do you think washington has the best interests of small business at heart? >> well, i hope so. the unfortunate part is we are seeing it in the administration. it continues to attack small business. washington has a spending problem, not a revenue problem. we hear about this every single week. lori: you point out that many small businesses do not have lawyers or lobbyists that...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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the debt ceiling or the sequester or the sgr cliff. does congressional staffers, i'm sure debbie can attest to, we are constantly living in his temporary environment because we have to. that is unfortunate your we would all like to take some time and do a deep dive into deep policy thinking and try to think of transformational ideas that can transform everything, but when we kind of walking to work reality hits us. we have a job to do. we have to take of the thing that is the most pressing on the front end, and, unfortunately, that's kind of the environment we are living in. and it was a very interesting panel, especially the last one, where i was hearing, there's nothing better than congressional staffers. actually talk to patients are going through the clinic. one of the things that, the reality that we suffer with, unfortunately and this is something we all have to deal with come is just the fiscal reality. as you rightly pointed out, it is right now the debate is about budget and at, people are can't figure out to control costs but
the debt ceiling or the sequester or the sgr cliff. does congressional staffers, i'm sure debbie can attest to, we are constantly living in his temporary environment because we have to. that is unfortunate your we would all like to take some time and do a deep dive into deep policy thinking and try to think of transformational ideas that can transform everything, but when we kind of walking to work reality hits us. we have a job to do. we have to take of the thing that is the most pressing on...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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. >> your thoughts on the debt ceiling. >> no. >> you think we are in danger of a bond bubble? >> i don't even know what that is. >> which mario has done a better job monti or draghi? >> monti or draghi? you know i have no idea what you're talking about, so -- >> what's your favorite show on television? >> hmm. "american greed." >> really? >> yeah. >> can you open that up for me? >> oh! >> you just made my day. >> i wish we could show more of that stuff. that was michael james, guys. and he was touched. because he tweets about "american greed" all the time. and i went on to talk to him about his favorite show and he's like god forgive me, but the one when the preacher steals from the church, and he went through this whole thing about how that's his favorite show. matt burke went to harvard he knows his stuff with the ravens and the kicker for the niners, he's a cramer guy and he's a conservative aaa-rated tax-free bond guy. >> i feel so bad for these guys because it's kind of like talking to me about football. if you ask me those questions, like oh, yeah. >> they would get angr
. >> your thoughts on the debt ceiling. >> no. >> you think we are in danger of a bond bubble? >> i don't even know what that is. >> which mario has done a better job monti or draghi? >> monti or draghi? you know i have no idea what you're talking about, so -- >> what's your favorite show on television? >> hmm. "american greed." >> really? >> yeah. >> can you open that up for me? >> oh! >> you just made my...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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i think the debt ceiling went like groundhog day. it's like this time we're going to have this debate. then at midnight on new year's eve we pass a bill and give senators six minutes to reid it before it goes and we've now avoided the fiscal by kicking the can down the road which now we passed a bill to push off until may the reckoning for the debt ceiling. nobody has come to the table to try to fix things. i say the senate hasn't actually passed a budget. the president and democrats haven't passed a budget in four years. there is a fundamental inability for congress to do their job. you are supposed to pass a budget by april 15. you are supposed to reconcile all those bills by october. that hasn't happened in four years. instead we've had this crisis atmosphere where things are passed in the middle of the night and nothing gets done. >> we only look at law makers records as they pertain to gun related issues. the numbers in the house and numbers of the senate haven't changed so much from the previous congress but there are faces tha
i think the debt ceiling went like groundhog day. it's like this time we're going to have this debate. then at midnight on new year's eve we pass a bill and give senators six minutes to reid it before it goes and we've now avoided the fiscal by kicking the can down the road which now we passed a bill to push off until may the reckoning for the debt ceiling. nobody has come to the table to try to fix things. i say the senate hasn't actually passed a budget. the president and democrats haven't...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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. >> whited lawmakers decided his best to delay the debt ceiling? >> about two weeks ago they tried in 2011 to use the debt and then as a leverage point to force obama to swallow spending cuts. it worked, but it is terribly damaging to the nation's economy and their political capital. with something like 90% in august of 2011 and they recognize this is a bad idea. thing is a pretty bad idea of a downgrade for the first time. they didn't want to do that again, but they didn't want to vote for a thicker national debt either. that doesn't care what their philosophy to pick them up with a strategy and in the meantime we want the senate to pass a budget for 2014 and the law says if either chamber fails a budget, paychecks will be docked. the whole idea is to postpone the economy default situation until the prosecutor at the continuing fight over taxes and then made to a point where both sides are satisfied in the debt limit can be raised again. >> how a template of a increasing the deficit in effect the economy and financial markets? >> where do you know
. >> whited lawmakers decided his best to delay the debt ceiling? >> about two weeks ago they tried in 2011 to use the debt and then as a leverage point to force obama to swallow spending cuts. it worked, but it is terribly damaging to the nation's economy and their political capital. with something like 90% in august of 2011 and they recognize this is a bad idea. thing is a pretty bad idea of a downgrade for the first time. they didn't want to do that again, but they didn't want to...
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Feb 1, 2013
02/13
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. >> with the fiscal cliff and debt ceiling and trying to get bipartisan, but over here is something called poverty, 50 million americans and racial disparity and cities collapsing and the like. i'm going to make the case we should build america an urban infrastructural bank for the purpose of long-term loans. we do it in europe and japan. and no other country charges people to repatriate their money once they pay taxes in that country. but we do. but if we, in fact, took a portion of that money, part for research and development and part of it for an institutional bank, you could do what banks are not doing, and that's invest in these downtrodden areas of our country. >> gillian, we've been talking about it for years, trillions of dollars sitting on the sidelines not coming back to america. how do we get it back here? >> almost $2 trillion. you've got average household earnings down over the past four years, poverty is up. we need this money working in our economy. how do we get it here? >> absolutely. i think the reverend's idea is very interesting because right now many of the com
. >> with the fiscal cliff and debt ceiling and trying to get bipartisan, but over here is something called poverty, 50 million americans and racial disparity and cities collapsing and the like. i'm going to make the case we should build america an urban infrastructural bank for the purpose of long-term loans. we do it in europe and japan. and no other country charges people to repatriate their money once they pay taxes in that country. but we do. but if we, in fact, took a portion of...
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Feb 2, 2013
02/13
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i think the debt ceiling went like groundhog day. it's like this time we're going to have this debate. then at midnight on new year's eve we pass a bill and give senators six minutes to reid it before it goes and we've now avoided the fiscal by kicking the can down the road which now we passed a bill to push off until may the reckoning for the debt ceiling. nobody has come to the table to try to fix things. i say the senate hasn't actually passed a budget. the president and democrats haven't passed a budget in four years. there is a fundamental inability for congress to do their job. you are supposed to pass a budget by april 15. you are supposed to reconcile all those bills by october. that hasn't happened in four years. instead we've had this crisis atmosphere where things are passed in the middle of the night and nothing gets done. >> we only look at law makers records as they pertain to gun related issues. the numbers in the house and numbers of the senate haven't changed so much from the previous congress but there are faces tha
i think the debt ceiling went like groundhog day. it's like this time we're going to have this debate. then at midnight on new year's eve we pass a bill and give senators six minutes to reid it before it goes and we've now avoided the fiscal by kicking the can down the road which now we passed a bill to push off until may the reckoning for the debt ceiling. nobody has come to the table to try to fix things. i say the senate hasn't actually passed a budget. the president and democrats haven't...